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  #1  
Old 05-28-2004, 06:14 AM
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Good article on the current situation

I read this in the LA Times today and I thought it really puts things in perspective.

Reality Check -- This Is War

The panic gripping Washington over the state of Iraq makes it clear we have been spoiled by the seemingly easy, apparently bloodless victories of the last decade. From the Persian Gulf War of 1991 to the Afghanistan war of 2001, we got used to winning largely through air power. There were casualties, of course, but few of them were on our side. In Kosovo, we managed to prevail without losing a single person. We forgot what real war looks like. Iraq is providing an unwelcome reminder of how messy and costly it can be.

By comparison with the wars of the last decade, what's happening in Iraq appears to be a terrible failure. Things look a little different if you compare it with earlier conflicts.

Look at three key indicators:

• Casualties. As of Wednesday, we've lost 800 service people in Iraq (666 of them from hostile fire), and more than 4,500 have been wounded (of whom 1,769 returned to duty within 72 hours). At least 200,000 soldiers and Marines have served in Iraq — including many who have since left — so that amounts to a total casualty rate of about 2.5%. If you add Air Force, Navy and logistics personnel supporting Operation Iraqi Freedom (at least 150,000), the casualty rate drops to 1.5%.

How does that compare with previous U.S. wars? By my calculation, using data from Information Please and the Oxford Companion to American Military History, the losses we've suffered in Iraq are so far among the lowest of any of our major conflicts. Comparing the number of U.S. wounded and dead with the size of the force deployed, in Vietnam the casualty rate was 6.2%; in World War I and World War II, just above 6.5%. On D-day, June 6, 1944, more than three times as many servicemen were lost as died in Iraq in the past year.

The Iraq war rate seems high only because our unstated benchmark is the 1991 Gulf War (total casualty rate: 0.14%). This is not meant to deprecate the sacrifices of our soldiers; for friends and family members, no statistics can assuage their grief. But, from a historical vantage point, what's remarkable is how few casualties we've suffered, not how many.

• Nation-building. No, we haven't established a liberal democracy in Iraq. But it's only been a year. We occupied West Germany for four years after 1945, Japan for seven years. We occupied the Philippines for almost half a century after the Spanish-American War. More recently, Bosnia is still occupied by the international community nine years after the end of hostilities, as is Kosovo five years later.

It takes a long time to bring order out of chaos. The most successful examples of nation-building, such as the British in India, required hundreds of years. No one is suggesting that the United States should occupy Iraq nearly that long, of course, but it's unrealistic to expect too much in only a year. The fact that an interim Iraqi government will be established June 30, and elections held by Jan. 30, is actually pretty speedy by historical norms.

• Abuses: I make no excuses for the sadistic creeps at Abu Ghraib whose misconduct deserves the harshest possible punishment. But let's be serious. For all the media's coverage, this is no My Lai (1968) or No Gun Ri (1950) — both instances in which innocent civilians were gunned down by U.S. troops. Nor is this comparable to the abuses that occurred during the Philippine War (1899-1903), when Brig. Gen. Jacob Smith instructed his men to turn the island of Samar into "a howling wilderness" and kill "all persons … who are capable of bearing arms."

In Iraq, there is no evidence of the kind of systematic torture employed by the French in Algeria (1954-62) or the kind of "concentration camps" invented by the British in the Boer War (1899-1902). U.S. troops haven't simply leveled whole towns, as the Russians did in Chechnya (1994-95) or the Syrians in Hama (1982). Even in World War II — the "good war" — there were numerous instances of Americans shooting enemy soldiers trying to surrender, to say nothing of the carpet-bombing of German and Japanese civilians.

On the historical scale of abuses, the misconduct of a few soldiers in Iraq ranks pretty low. Most soldiers and Marines actually have exhibited great restraint in the face of an enemy that hides behind civilians and fires from mosques.

I don't mean to imply that everything is going great in Iraq. There are huge problems, especially the lack of security, and the Bush administration has badly bungled many aspects of the occupation. All I'm suggesting is that we keep a sense of perspective: Mistakes and setbacks occur in every war. At least in every war before the 1990s.

*

(BEGIN TEXT OF INFOBOX)

Chronicling the Casualties

Percentages of personnel injured or killed among the totals that served in major American conflicts (in descending order):

Civil War (Union forces): 29%

Mexican War: 22%

War of Independence: 11.6%

Korean War: 7.8%

World War I: 6.8%

World War II: 6.6%

Vietnam War: 6.2%

Philippine War: 5.6%

War of 1812: 2.3%

Iraq war: 1.5-2.5%

Spanish-American War: 1.3%

1991 Persian Gulf War: 0.14%


http://www.latimes.com/news/printedi...7228821.column
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Old 05-28-2004, 07:47 AM
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Re: Good article on the current situation

Nice little view on the state of things. Puts it in perspective.."it's not as bad as others, but it's pretty far from good"
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Old 05-28-2004, 03:18 PM
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Re: Good article on the current situation

It does put it in perspective. I learned alot from that article (namely, i thought we lost a much larger percentage in vietnam)

There are a few things missing however.

wheres the comparison on civilian casualties? and the comparison on how many of those were accepted "collateral dammage"?

wheres the comparison of technology? sure we lost alot of men in ww2 and even vietnam, but then we were up close and personal for very very long periods of time with our enemy. it looks to me like, when comparing conflicts with comparable technology, we are actually losing more men than the average.

and like the article says, its only been a year. we were doing pretty well in vietnam for the first few years.
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Old 05-28-2004, 04:26 PM
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I wonder how would civilian casualties would can be calculated into a statictic? Using a percentage would be tough because of who is killing/wounding the civilians. In the more recent wars those numbers can probably be fairly accurately calculated but WWII and earlier would be rough. The 10+ million that Stalin killed of his own people should be counted against whom? Certainly not the Germans, though they killed another 10 million Russians. What about those that died in concentration camps. Many were German citizens but they Allies didn't kill them. The same goes for the Chinese civilians who were killed by their own as opposed to the Japanese. Other then three wars, the US has a tremendous low percentage of civilian deaths because of our location. Canada, Mexico and the rest of the western hemisphere is not in proximity to most of the worlds conflicts.


War is ugly. Good people die. Its a shame that in the end, they all come down to a number. During the war is seems heartless, but afterward, not so much.













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Old 05-28-2004, 04:30 PM
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Re: Good article on the current situation

civilians killed by an invading force...maybe? just an idea

Quote:
Originally Posted by YogsVR4
War is ugly. Good people die. Its a shame that in the end, they all come down to a number. During the war is seems heartless, but afterward, not so much.
too true
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