Poll numbers for the election

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls.html

This site seems like an unbiased site.

2004 Presidential Race - 3 Way

Poll --------------------Date----------------Bush/Cheney----Kerry/Edwards -----Nader/Camejo---Spread
RCP Average-------10/12 - 10/16----48.4%-------------45.4%-----------------1.6% --------Bush +3.0Zogby (1211 LV) (http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=FUCNGFAPXVKAACRBAEOCF FA?type=topNews&storyID=6520756) ---10/14 - 10/16------46%----------------44%---------------------1%-------------Bush +2TIPP (786 LV) (http://www.tipponline.com/)-------10/13 - 10/16------48%----------------45%---------------------2%-------------Bush +3Time------------------ 10/14 - 10/15------48%----------------47%---------------------3%-------------Bush +1Newsweek (LV) (http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6260444/site/newsweek/)----10/14 - 10/15------50%----------------44%---------------------1%--------------Bush +6ABC/Wash Post (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/politics/?nav=left)-- 10/13 - 10/15-----50%----------------47%---------------------1%--------------Bush +3Click Here to See All 3-Way Polling Data (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry.html) | Graph: RCP Historical Poll Average (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/chart3way.html)


2004 Presidential Race - Head to Head
Poll-----------------------Date-------------------Bush/Cheney----Kerry/Edwards---SpreadRCP Average----------10/9 - 10/16--------48.1%-------------46.3%--------------Bush +1.8Rasmussen-------------10/14 - 10/16---------48%----------------46%------------------Bush +2TIPP (786 LV) (http://www.tipponline.com/)----------10/13 - 10/16---------47%----------------43%------------------Bush +4Time----------------------10/14 - 10/15---------48%----------------48%------------------TIENewsweek (LV) (http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6260444/site/newsweek/)-------10/14 - 10/15---------50%----------------45%------------------Bush +5CBS News (760 LV) (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/OCTB-AM.DOC)---10/9 - 10/11----------47%----------------46%------------------Bush +1ICR (763 LV) (http://www.icrsurvey.com/ICRInTheNews/Presidential_Tracker_1006.html)------------10/9- 10/11-----------49%----------------46%------------------Bush +3CNN/USAT/Gallup---10/9 - 10/10----------48%----------------50%------------------Kerry +2Click Here to See All Head-to-Head Polling Data (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_hth.html)

Here is the poll numbers in a graph.http://www.realclearpolitics.com/news_images-on_site/3waybig.jpg

With the election not too far away lets make this a friendly topic. Lets try to guess how many votes each candiate will get. I will lock this topic the day before the elcection and we will see who came closer. The winner gets bragging rights.

Bush 52%
Kerry 47%
Nader 1%

Bush with 281 votes from the college.

Its still going to be a close election, but from the way things are shaping up the last two weeks, Bush will win the popular vote as well as the all important electoral votes. Nader isn't going to be a factor in the same way Perot wasn't the second time around.













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yes still quite tight even by this graph
Blue=Kerry
Red=Bush
Greyish=Nader

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/special/polls/images/likely.voters.gif


on a side note...how did they decide the color thing Dem is blue, Rep is red?

Its still going to be a close election, but from the way things are shaping up the last two weeks, Bush will win the popular vote as well as the all important electoral votes. Nader isn't going to be a factor in the same way Perot wasn't the second time around.

First useful thing Nader has done. If Nader takes the exact percentage of votes that Kerry loses by, it's gonna be a HOOT. He'll be whining for a month, LOL.